Rare Book Monthly

Articles - January - 2026 Issue

And What about 2026?

And what about 2026?

And what about 2026?

After a very strong auction market in 2025, we’re projecting the number of collectible paper auctions will reach 4,380 in 2026.

 

A year ago (2024), it was big news when collectible paper auctions reached 3,000 auctions in a single year. A year later we’re approaching 4,000. What’s going on?  The simple answer is that the world of collectible paper has become primarily electronic and the ways to buy and sell are quickly evolving.

 

Over the past 10 years, the number of auctions Rare Book Hub followed exploded from 1,357 (2016) to become what we now expect this year (2025) will end up being 3,850+. Over that ten-year period the number of lots posted increased an average 11.53% per year while the annual rates varied widely.

 

Nine of the past 10 years saw year to year growth.  This past year we saw the greatest percentage increase; 28.96%. Five of the past 5 years saw 20%+ growth.

 

   

       Auctions

Prct =/-

1

2025

3852

28.96

2

2024

2987

21.18

3

2023

2465

5.43

4

2022

2338

1.01

5

2021

2307

23.83

6

2020

1863

12.64

7

2019

1654

17.39

8

2018

1409

4.22

9

2017

1352

-0.37

10

2016

1357

1.01

11

2015

1342

 
       
     

11.53%

 

 

There are two questions; What’s driving the change, and how will 2026 do?

 

What’s driving the change?  It’s market clarity. What are my books worth is a common question, and it can be easily answered. Once known, sellers focus on price or speed. Artful advocates wonder how to achieve both.

 

The case for an average year in 2026 is based on the average increase for the past decade was 11%. What’s will be different?

  1. The Federal Reserve has been by chaired by Jerome Powell. By mid-year someone new will take his place.  The current American administration demands obedience. A weak chairman will undermine the dollar, inappropriately cutting rates, losing control over inflation. The damage won’t become clear until mid-2027 so the auction market should be okay during 2026.
  2. The pump is primed. The auctions have been doing well and will be looking for continuing growth.
  3. Consignors are inherently cautious but have seen auction valuations for collectible paper have been steady even as the volume of auctions and lots have exploded. They will continue to feed the market.
  4. The wild card; politics. It may affect bidding enthusiasm.
  5. The hidden factor. There are many high value categories. They do not march in lock step.  When big lots fail whatever the category, the plaudits moan. Damage in one category may cast a dark spell on others. Some believe collectibles are a confidence game. Fortunately, collectible paper while it’s a billion-dollar business at the auction level, it’s quite small by comparison to art. The high lot volume and relatively low estimates of typical collectible paper lots mean bidders/buyers have many choices. If you are a player, we expect to cover 12 auctions a day. That means 365 x 12 equals 4,380 events.

 

As well, my sense is that we’re beginning to attract a somewhat younger audience (35-50) that is finding the ability to personally define subjects of personal interest, then follow specialist dealers and track a dozen auctions a day worldwide is becoming the everyday norm for the next generation of collectors.

 

We’re living in the new world. Be healthy, be well.

Rare Book Monthly

  • Forum Auctions
    Fine Books, Manuscripts and Works on Paper
    29th January 2026
    Forum, Jan. 29: Plato. [Apanta ta tou Platonos. Omnia Platonis opera], 2 parts in 2 vol., editio princeps of Plato's works in the original Greek, Venice, House of Aldus, 1513. £8,000-12,000
    Forum, Jan. 29: Book of Hours, Use of Rome, In Latin, illuminated manuscript on vellum, [Southern Netherlands (probably Bruges), c.1460]. £6,000-8,000
    Forum, Jan. 29: Correspondence and documents by or addressed to the first four Viscounts Molesworth and members of their families, letters and manuscripts, 1690-1783. £10,000-15,000
    Forum Auctions
    Fine Books, Manuscripts and Works on Paper
    29th January 2026
    Forum, Jan. 29: Shakespeare (William). The Dramatic Works, 9 vol., John and Josiah Boydell, 1802. £5,000-7,000
    Forum, Jan. 29: Joyce (James). Ulysses, first edition, one of 750 copies on handmade paper, Paris, Shakespeare and Company, 1922 £8,000-12,000
    Forum, Jan. 29: Powell (Anthony). [A Dance to the Music of Time], 12 vol., first editions, each with a signed presentation inscription from the author to Osbert Lancaster, 1951-75. £6,000-8,000
    Forum Auctions
    Fine Books, Manuscripts and Works on Paper
    29th January 2026
    Forum, Jan. 29: Chaucer (Geoffrey). Troilus and Criseyde, one of 225 copies on handmade paper, wood-engravings by Eric Gill, Waltham St.Lawrence, 1927. £3,000-4,000
    Forum, Jan. 29: Borges (Jorge Luis). Luna de Enfrente, first edition, one of 300 copies, presentation copy signed by the author to Leopoldo Marechal, Buenos Aires, Editorial Proa, 1925. £3,000-4,000
    Forum, Jan. 29: Nolli (Giovanni Battista). Nuova Pianta di Roma, Rome, 1748. £6,000-8,000
    Forum Auctions
    Fine Books, Manuscripts and Works on Paper
    29th January 2026
    Forum, Jan. 29: Roberts (David). The Holy Land, Syria, Idumea, Arabia, Egypt, & Nubia, 3 vol., first edition, 1842-49. £15,000-20,000
    Forum, Jan. 29: Blacker (William). Catechism of Fly Making, Angling and Dyeing, Published by the author, 1843. £3,000-4,000
    Forum, Jan. 29: Herschel (Sir John F. W.) Collection of 69 offprints, extracts and separate publications by Herschel, bound for his son, William James Herschel, 3 vol., [1813-50]. £15,000-20,000
  • Sotheby’s
    Fine Manuscript and Printed Americana
    27 January 2026
    Sotheby’s, Jan. 27: An extraordinary pair of books from George Washington’s field library, marking the conjunction of Robert Rogers, George Washington, and Henry Knox. $1,200,000 to $1,800,000.
    Sotheby’s, Jan. 27: An extraordinary letter marking the conjunction of George Washington, the Marquis de Lafayette, and Benjamin Franklin. $1,000,000 to $1,500,000.
    Sotheby’s, Jan. 27: Virginia House of Delegates. The genesis of the Declaration of Independence and the Bill of Rights. $350,000 to $500,000.
    Sotheby’s
    Fine Manuscript and Printed Americana
    27 January 2026
    Sotheby’s, Jan. 27: (Gettysburg). “Genl. Doubleday has taken charge of the battle”: Autograph witness to the first day of the Battle of Gettysburg, illustrated by fourteen maps and plans. $200,000 to $300,000.
    Sotheby’s, Jan. 27: President Lincoln thanks a schoolboy on behalf of "all the children of the nation for his efforts to ensure "that this war shall be successful, and the Union be maintained and perpetuated." $200,000 to $300,000.
    Sotheby’s, Jan. 27: [World War II]. An archive of maps and files documenting the allied campaign in Europe, from the early stages of planning for D-Day and Operation Overlord, to Germany’s surrender. $200,000 to $300,000.

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