Rare Book Monthly

Articles - January - 2023 Issue

What are old books telling us about the future?

The future??

The future??

Not so much.  Transactions+ is the history of printed paper at auction and it’s tough for new terms to break in.  Covid is still very new and there are only 336 appearances of the estimated 2 billion words in this database so far.  In time Covid collections will enter into the auction rooms and fresh references will pile up.  For me, that will be left to future hands while I continue to mask-up and keep my fingers crossed.

 

Other terms are literally dying out.  Five hundred years ago plague and pestilence were probably front page stories too and we can tell the number of appearances is declining, as pestilence weighs in at 594 and plague at 8,052.

 

Other trends are holding.  References to major publishing locations are still increasing:

 

London:  1,901,468

 

New York:  1,356,234

 

Paris:  1,011,739

 

Philadelphia:  280,769

 

Washington:  272,701

 

Chicago:  133,115

 

Rome:  100,043

 

In time there will be places on this list we’ve never thought about.

 

As to subjects that appear in Transactions+ they appear to be the raw material of a serious study.

 

Often old books focus on life’s downsides.  A search for war in Transactions+ finds 504,027 records while peace finds 47,825.  On the other hand love finds 110,628 while hate has 3,354.  Interestingly future and past are about equal:  43,411 versus 47,329.  Certainty tops uncertainty although neither term has been widely used, shows up with 2,061 versus 1,445.

 

Another way to challenge Transactions+ is to run these two searches:  religion and science.  Religion wins big with 1,253,081 while science has a respectable showing with 304,075.  I assume science will be gaining ground week by week into the future.

 

As well, life wins over death with 539,175 versus 169,957 while birth registers at 20,930.  Searches for cure and disease have a slight positive bias; 9,573 versus 8,411.

 

As to other terms:

 

Manuscript:  395,683

 

Manuscripts:  773,725

 

Newspaper:  47,418

 

Ephemera:  120,005

 

Map:  487,144

 

Maps:  720,330

 

And finally two silly ones:

 

Hells-bells 6

 

Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious 20

 

To personalize your experience run your own searches.  Transactions+ is a mirror.

Rare Book Monthly

  • Heritage Auctions
    Rare Books Signature Auction
    December 15, 2025
    Heritage, Dec. 15: John Donne. Poems, By J. D. With Elegies on the Author's Death. London: M[iles]. F[lesher]. for John Marriot, 1633.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: Edgar Rice Burroughs. Tarzan of the Apes.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: F. Scott Fitzgerald. Tender is the Night. A Romance.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: Bram Stoker. Dracula. Westminster: Archibald Constable & Co., 1897.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: Jerry Thomas. How to Mix Drinks, or the Bon-Vivant's Companion, Containing Clear and Reliable Directions for Mixing All the Beverages Used in the United States…
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    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: An Exceptionally Fine Copy of Austenís Emma: A Novel in Three Volumes. $40,000 - $60,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Presentation Copy of Ernest Hemmingwayís A Farewell to Arms for Edward Titus of the Black Mankin Press. $30,000 - $50,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Manuscript Signed Integrally for "The Songs of Pooh," by Alan Alexander. $30,000 - $50,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Manuscript of "Three Fragments from Gˆtterd‰mmerung" by Richard Wagner. $30,000 - $50,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Original Preliminary Artwork, for the First Edition of Snow Crash. $20,000 - $30,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Letter Signed ("T.R. Malthus") to Economist Nassau Senior on Wealth, Labor and Adam Smith. $20,000 - $30,000.
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    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: First Edition of Lewis and Clark: Travels to the Source of the Missouri River and Across the American Continent to the Pacific Ocean. $8,000 - $12,000.
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    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: A Complete Set Signed Deluxe Editions of King's The Dark Tower Series by Stephen King. $8,000 - $12,000.
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    Book Week
    December 9-17, 2025
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 17: Francesco Colonna. Hypnerotomachie, Paris, 1546, Parisian calf by Wotton Binder C for Marcus Fugger. €200,000 to €300,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 17: Nausea. De principiis dialectices Gorgias, and other works, Venice, 1523, morocco gilt for Cardinal Campeggio. €3,000 to €4,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 17: Billon. Le fort inexpugnable de l'honneur, Paris, 1555, Parisian calf gilt for Peter Ernst, Graf von Mansfeld. €120,000 to €180,000.
    Sotheby’s
    Book Week
    December 9-17, 2025
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 16: Salinger, J.D. The Graham Family archive, including autographed letters, an inscribed Catcher, a rare studio photograph of the author, and more. $120,000 to $180,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 16: [Austen, Jane]. A handsome first edition of Sense and Sensibility, the author's first novel. $60,000 to $80,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 16: Massachusetts General Court. A powerful precursor to the Declaration of Independence: "every Act of Government … without the Consent of the People, is … Tyranny." $40,000 to $60,000.

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