Rare Book Monthly

Articles - May - 2005 Issue

Converting Old Prices To Current Value: Finally A Tool

"Current Estimates" show how greatly the first edition of the Book of Mormon has appreciated.

"Current Estimates" show how greatly the first edition of the Book of Mormon has appreciated.


Here is an example: suppose a book sold for $5 in 1955. Next, let's imagine that it currently sells for $10. Was this book a good investment? As we just noted, it certainly was not. It has doubled in price, but you don't need a formula to recognize that this is a terrible rate of return for fifty years. But what if today's price is $50? Or $100? Maybe it's $150, or $200. Most people probably have no idea what that $5 translates to today. That's today's quiz, and at the end of this article, we will tell you. Until then, most people will not likely know what this price means, meaning that a wealth of valuable pricing data collected over decades if not centuries is totally worthless to them. But, it no longer needs to be.

Now we'll show you an example of a book that is growing far beyond the rate of a typical book. It has been an outstanding investment in the past. No guarantees here, but it looks to be a continued good value for the future. The book is the original 1830 Palmyra, New York, printing of The Book of Mormon. Mormon titles have become very collectible over the years. If you click the image to the left of this column to enlarge it, you will see the growth, not just in actual prices, but in current estimated dollar values as well. From values in terms of current dollars of $1,000-$2,000 in the 1920s and 1930s, more recent sales translate to near or over $10,000. The trend-line for this book is exceptional. On the other hand, The Adventures of Peregrine Pickle, a 1751 book by Tobias Smollett, has not fared so well. See the image on the next page to see what has happened to it. Of course not all copies are identical, and this will affect price, but the trends here are inescapable and very telling. I know now which books I want to collect.

Some of you may not see a need for this resource. Many people determine values from Abe, Alibris, Biblio and the like. These online book sites are wonderful places for buying and selling books. They are terribly misleading for establishing value. Prices are all over the place. One bookseller may want $10 for a book, another $100 for a similar copy. What does this tell us about its value? A site like Abe has some knowledgeable bookseller members, but it also has a great many amateurs whose prices are pulled out of thin air. Here's another thing to remember about Abe et al. While some of those prices may appear cause for optimism, at least for the seller, what you are mostly seeing are the prices of books that don't sell. The ones whose prices truly reflect the market don't hang around forever. The majority of what you see is books that have been there for ages, often many years. These are essentially the prices people won't pay. They tell the seller how to price books they don't want to sell; the buyer what to pay if they want to be financially underwater for years to come.

Rare Book Monthly

  • Heritage Auctions
    Rare Books Signature Auction
    December 15, 2025
    Heritage, Dec. 15: John Donne. Poems, By J. D. With Elegies on the Author's Death. London: M[iles]. F[lesher]. for John Marriot, 1633.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: Edgar Rice Burroughs. Tarzan of the Apes.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: F. Scott Fitzgerald. Tender is the Night. A Romance.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: Bram Stoker. Dracula. Westminster: Archibald Constable & Co., 1897.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: Jerry Thomas. How to Mix Drinks, or the Bon-Vivant's Companion, Containing Clear and Reliable Directions for Mixing All the Beverages Used in the United States…
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  • Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Letter Signed ("Martinus Luther") to His Friend the Theologian Gerhard Wiskamp ("Gerardo Xantho Lampadario"). $100,000 - $150,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: An Exceptionally Fine Copy of Austenís Emma: A Novel in Three Volumes. $40,000 - $60,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Presentation Copy of Ernest Hemmingwayís A Farewell to Arms for Edward Titus of the Black Mankin Press. $30,000 - $50,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Manuscript Signed Integrally for "The Songs of Pooh," by Alan Alexander. $30,000 - $50,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Manuscript of "Three Fragments from Gˆtterd‰mmerung" by Richard Wagner. $30,000 - $50,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Original Preliminary Artwork, for the First Edition of Snow Crash. $20,000 - $30,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Letter Signed ("T.R. Malthus") to Economist Nassau Senior on Wealth, Labor and Adam Smith. $20,000 - $30,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: History of the Peloponnesian War by Thucydides Finely Bound by Michael Wilcox. $20,000 - $30,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: First Edition of Lewis and Clark: Travels to the Source of the Missouri River and Across the American Continent to the Pacific Ocean. $8,000 - $12,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Original Artwork for the First Edition of Neal Stephenson's Groundbreaking Novel Snow Crash. $100,000 - $150,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: A Complete Set Signed Deluxe Editions of King's The Dark Tower Series by Stephen King. $8,000 - $12,000.
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    December 9-17, 2025
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 17: Francesco Colonna. Hypnerotomachie, Paris, 1546, Parisian calf by Wotton Binder C for Marcus Fugger. €200,000 to €300,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 17: Nausea. De principiis dialectices Gorgias, and other works, Venice, 1523, morocco gilt for Cardinal Campeggio. €3,000 to €4,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 17: Billon. Le fort inexpugnable de l'honneur, Paris, 1555, Parisian calf gilt for Peter Ernst, Graf von Mansfeld. €120,000 to €180,000.
    Sotheby’s
    Book Week
    December 9-17, 2025
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 16: Salinger, J.D. The Graham Family archive, including autographed letters, an inscribed Catcher, a rare studio photograph of the author, and more. $120,000 to $180,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 16: [Austen, Jane]. A handsome first edition of Sense and Sensibility, the author's first novel. $60,000 to $80,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 16: Massachusetts General Court. A powerful precursor to the Declaration of Independence: "every Act of Government … without the Consent of the People, is … Tyranny." $40,000 to $60,000.

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