Rare Book Monthly

Articles - July - 2011 Issue

Who knew?

According to the AED the Republican candidate for President of the United States

According to the AED the Republican candidate for President of the United States

The race for the Republican nomination has barely begun and already the results are in.  The AED is now ready to predict the winner.  To add suspense I will list hopefuls in alphabetical order and then pick them off like crows on a power line.

Bachmann

Cain

Gingrich

Huntsman

Johnson

Karger     
       

Martin 
           

McMillan

Moore

Palin

Paul

Pawlenty

Roemer

Romney

Santorum

Trump    
        

The calculus is based on the number of times these candidates' last names appear in the AED, the Americana Exchange Database.  The AED, as friend and foe know it, is 3.2 million full text records of auction, bibliographic and dealer records of books, manuscripts, maps and ephemera offered or described over the past one hundred and fifty years.  My theory is that candidates with more familiar names have a better chance of winning the nomination than candidates whose names rarely or never appear in the AED.  As George Bush might say it, the AED is the decider.

On this basis candidate Pawlenty [0] is toast, sitting so far down in the penalty box that the only one who can even see him is candidate Santorum [3]. In the same August surroundings is Sarah Palin whose lack of literary ancestors will cause her to hold on to her position at Fox.  Not surprisingly Candidate Karger at 64 isn’t going to be giving an acceptance speech at the nominating convention either.  Neither will Newt Gingrich at 140, Buddy Roemer at 157, or Donald Trump at 184.  Candidate McMillan, the perennial candidate from New York barely moves the dial at 301.  Michele Bachmann, at 490, will be remaining in Congress, Huntsman at 778 going back to China.  In fact all these folks need to keep their day jobs.

Herman Cain, the former Federal Reserve banker from Georgia actually moves our dial with a count of 1,701.  Just ahead Mitt Romney, at 2056 does even better although neither does well.


Posted On: 2011-07-01 00:00
User Name: scientiabk

The only problem with this "analysis" is that Ron Paul has been a candidate before. So why wasn't he the nominee in previous campaigns?


Posted On: 2011-07-02 00:00
User Name: Renaiss7

I think this is definitely a tongue-in-cheek report. Well done! The 77,000 references to Paul include many where Paul is the first name, e.g. Paul


Rare Book Monthly

  • Swann, May 15: Lot 4: Helena Bochoráková-Dittrichová, Z Mého Detství Drevoryty, Prague: Obzina, 1929. First trade edition, signed by the artist. $4,000 to $6,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 10: Nancy Cunard, Negro Anthology, with a tipped-in A.L.S. to Karl Marx's niece, 1934. First edition. $3,000 to $5,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 14: Margaret Fuller, Woman in the Nineteenth Century, 1845. First edition. $4,000 to $6,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 17: Lorraine Hansberry, A Raisin in the Sun, inscribed first edition, 1959. $2,000 to $3,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 28: Margaret Hill Morris, Private Journal Kept during a Portion of the Revolutionary War, for the Amusement of a Sister, 1836. First edition. $3,000 to $4,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 38: Anna Sewell, Black Beauty: The Autobiography of a Horse, 1877. First edition. $3,000 to $5,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 43: Gertrude Stein, Portrait of Mabel Dodge at the Villa Curonia, signed presentation copy with photograph of Stein, 1912. First edition. $8,000 to $12,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 48: Virginia Woolf, To the Lighthouse, first edition in the scarce dust jacket, 1927. $6,000 to $8,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 54: Katherine Dunham, large archive of material from her attorney, 1951-53. $20,000 to $30,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 55: Margaret Fuller Signed Autograph Letter, New York City, 1846. $3,000 to $5,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 92: Sonia Delaunay, illus. & Tristan Tzara, Juste Present, deluxe edition with original gouache, 1961. $20,000 to $25,000.
    Swann, May 15: Lot 93: Flor Garduño, The Sonnets of Shakespeare, 2006. Limited edition. $6,000 to $8,000.
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    Sotheby’s: The Declaration of Independence | The Holt printing, the only copy in private hands. Sold: 3,360,000 USD
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    Sotheby’s: Thomas Taylor | The original cover art for Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone. Sold: 1,920,000 USD
    Sotheby’s: Machiavelli | Il Principe, a previously unrecorded copy of the book where modern political thought began. Sold: 576,000 GBP
    Sotheby’s: Leonardo da Vinci | Trattato della pittura, ca. 1639, a very fine pre-publication manuscript. Sold: 381,000 GBP
    Sotheby’s: Henri Matisse | Jazz, Paris 1947, the complete portfolio. Sold: 312,000 EUR
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  • Dominic Winter Auctioneers
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